ExchangeRisk Alert

Professional exchange rate monitoring and risk alert platform, empowering institutions to precisely identify risks and optimize decisions.

Navigation

Select a card to open the module

Trend & Volatility Analysis

30/60-day Bollinger Bands with intelligent data panel, automatic market status assessment and decision guidance.

Open→

MC Failure Alert Center

61.7% precision alert system (USD/CNY), dual-layer filtering for high-risk periods, full Excel reports.

Open→

Model Accuracy Validation

MC 90-93% accuracy (out-of-sample validated), VaR breach rate, direction forecast, 660-sample backtest.

Open→

Backtest Data Download

Excel backtest reports: MC alert method, MC accuracy, Naive accuracy, full methodology, updated every 20 days.

Open→

Operational Cadence

  • Accuracy cache pre-warmed daily at 05:00 UTC for core currency pairs.
  • Monte Carlo backtest dossier refreshes every 20 days with downloadable Excel audit trails.
  • Monte Carlo accuracy updates daily, predictions use trading day rates only (excluding weekends/holidays).

MC Alert System:

MC failure alert system currently works for USD/CNY only (61.7% precision, 86.4% capture). Other currency pairs under development.

Disclaimer:

All forecasts for reference only, not investment advice. FX markets are affected by various factors—always apply your own risk controls.

Risk Disclaimer

The exchange rate predictions and risk analysis provided by this system are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The forex market is highly uncertain, and actual rates may significantly differ from predictions.

Please consult professional advisors before making any financial decisions. Developers are not responsible for any losses incurred from using this system.